One thing I’ve already seen since Holmes’ email last night (see some discussion by Brent Nongbri here and here) is a questioning of the authenticity of the First-century Gospels invoice. Some have cautioned against taking it at face value. I even had one conservative Christian ask me directly this morning if I think it is real.
I don’t have any reason to doubt that it’s real, but I also think we can quantify that a little bit. Are we not text critics? Is it not part of our job to analyze handwriting on handwritten documents? I don’t mean to make light of a very serious situation, but I do think it could be helpful to post an analysis like this. I freely admit that I am not trained in contemporary forensic handwriting analysis, so my thoughts here should not be taken as definitive. I am only analysing the letters as I would give an informal analysis on the fly if a friend asked me to describe the letters in a Greek NT manuscript. I’m pretty sure the date of the Mark fragment itself is proof that an opinion can change when something is studied in greater detail.
With that in mind, I offer this assessment of the handwriting of two samples. The first is the handwriting on the invoice where it is signed Dirk Obbink, which I designate INV in the discussions that follow. I have not used the signature line in the comparison, because it is qualitatively a different style—it is a ‘signature’ style, rather than a ‘print’ hand used elsewhere.
The other is the handwriting of the paper note, which I designate PAP.
Descriptions for each letter are below the screenshots of them.
I don’t have any reason to doubt that it’s real, but I also think we can quantify that a little bit. Are we not text critics? Is it not part of our job to analyze handwriting on handwritten documents? I don’t mean to make light of a very serious situation, but I do think it could be helpful to post an analysis like this. I freely admit that I am not trained in contemporary forensic handwriting analysis, so my thoughts here should not be taken as definitive. I am only analysing the letters as I would give an informal analysis on the fly if a friend asked me to describe the letters in a Greek NT manuscript. I’m pretty sure the date of the Mark fragment itself is proof that an opinion can change when something is studied in greater detail.
With that in mind, I offer this assessment of the handwriting of two samples. The first is the handwriting on the invoice where it is signed Dirk Obbink, which I designate INV in the discussions that follow. I have not used the signature line in the comparison, because it is qualitatively a different style—it is a ‘signature’ style, rather than a ‘print’ hand used elsewhere.
![]() |
“INV” |
The other is the handwriting of the paper note, which I designate PAP.
![]() |
“PAP” |
In conclusion:
I think there is enough consistency across both hands to conclude that it is reasonable to assume that the hand that signed the invoice as Dirk Obbink was the same hand that wrote paper note identifying New Testament text. Higher-resolution photos would of course be ideal, but what we have shows a consistency across both hands with some identical or very similar letters and letter formation patterns. In addition to higher-resolution images, one source of information could be metadata with the original photograph of the note. Often you can tell things like what camera was used to take a photograph, whose computer was used to create the file, etc. from that metadata. Also helpful would be to have a handwriting sample that is indisputably that of Obbink. What I have done here is not exactly the same as giving a palaeographical assessment of an ancient fragment—I know my own handwriting has a lot of internal inconsistency, but still, it looks to me from what is extant here that these two samples were written by the same person.